2 papers
cs.LG2026
Capturing Intransitive Dominance in Tennis Forecasting: A Graph Neural Network Approach
Lawrence Clegg, John Cartlidge
Intransitive player dominance, where player A beats B, B beats C, but C beats A, is common in competitive tennis. Yet, there are few known attempts to incorporate it within forecas…
stat.AP2026
A market-calibrated accelerated failure time model for in-play football forecasting
Lawrence Clegg, Zixing Song, John Cartlidge
In-play football forecasting models have struggled to match the accuracy of betting exchange prices, which aggregate information from many market participants. We close this gap by…