2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Multi-Year-to-Decadal Temperature Prediction using a Machine Learning Model-Analog Framework
M. A. Fernandez, Elizabeth A. Barnes
Multi-year-to-decadal climate predictions are a key tool in understanding the range of potential regional climate futures. Here, we present a framework that combines machine learni…
physics.ao-ph2025
Predicting Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Errors using a Probabilistic Neural Network
M. A. Fernandez, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Randal J. Barnes +4
A new method for estimating tropical cyclone track uncertainty is presented and tested. This method uses a neural network to predict a bivariate normal distribution, which serves a…