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Conformal Individual Treatment Effect Estimation under Networked Interference
Matteo Zecchin, Osvaldo Simeone
Conformal counterfactual prediction constructs prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees for counterfactual outcomes and individual treatment effects under the no-inte…
Post-Selection Distributional Model Evaluation
Amirmohammad Farzaneh, Osvaldo Simeone
Formal model evaluation methods typically certify that a model satisfies a prescribed target key performance indicator (KPI) level. However, in many applications, the relevant targ…
Adaptive Prediction-Powered AutoEval with Reliability and Efficiency Guarantees
Sangwoo Park, Matteo Zecchin, Osvaldo Simeone
Selecting artificial intelligence (AI) models, such as large language models (LLMs), from multiple candidates requires accurate performance estimation. This is ideally achieved thr…
Online Conformal Probabilistic Numerics via Adaptive Edge-Cloud Offloading
Qiushuo Hou, Sangwoo Park, Matteo Zecchin +3
Consider an edge computing setting in which a user submits queries for the solution of a linear system to an edge processor, which is subject to time-varying computing availability…
Adaptive Learn-then-Test: Statistically Valid and Efficient Hyperparameter Selection
Matteo Zecchin, Sangwoo Park, Osvaldo Simeone
We introduce adaptive learn-then-test (aLTT), an efficient hyperparameter selection procedure that provides finite-sample statistical guarantees on the population risk of AI models…
Localized Adaptive Risk Control
Matteo Zecchin, Osvaldo Simeone
Adaptive Risk Control (ARC) is an online calibration strategy based on set prediction that offers worst-case deterministic long-term risk control, as well as statistical marginal c…