2 citations · 2 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
A dataset of rated conceptual arguments
Emery Cooper, Caspar Oesterheld, Linh Chi Nguyen +2
Large language models have improved rapidly on tasks with verifiable answers, such as mathematics and programming. Much less is known about their ability to reason about what we ca…
Can CDT rationalise the ex ante optimal policy via modified anthropics?
Emery Cooper, Caspar Oesterheld, Vincent Conitzer
In Newcomb's problem, causal decision theory (CDT) recommends two-boxing and thus comes apart from evidential decision theory (EDT) and ex ante policy optimisation (which prescribe…
Incentivizing honest performative predictions with proper scoring rules
Caspar Oesterheld, Johannes Treutlein, Emery Cooper +1
Proper scoring rules incentivize experts to accurately report beliefs, assuming predictions cannot influence outcomes. We relax this assumption and investigate incentives when pred…