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cs.MA2026
ForecastAgentSearch: Towards a Multi-Expert Agent Search System for Geopolitical Event Forecasting
Miaomiao Cai, He Chang, Yunshan Ma +1
Geopolitical event forecasting is a challenging task, as it requires understanding complex regional contexts, dynamic event signals, and uncertain future outcomes. Recent advances…
cs.IR2026
Scattered Hypothesis Generation for Open-Ended Event Forecasting
He Chang, Zhulin Tao, Lifang Yang +2
Despite the importance of open-ended event forecasting for risk management, current LLM-based methods predominantly target only the most probable outcomes, neglecting the intrinsic…
cs.LG2026
ThinkTank-ME: A Multi-Expert Framework for Middle East Event Forecasting
Haoxuan Li, He Chang, Yunshan Ma +4
Event forecasting is inherently influenced by multifaceted considerations, including international relations, regional historical dynamics, and cultural contexts. However, existing…