3 papers
cs.LG2025
Utilising Deep Learning to Elicit Expert Uncertainty
Julia R. Falconer, Eibe Frank, Devon L. L. Polaschek +1
Recent work [ 14 ] has introduced a method for prior elicitation that utilizes records of expert decisions to infer a prior distribution. While this method provides a promising app…
stat.ME2023
Eliciting Informative Priors by Modelling Expert Decision Making
Julia R. Falconer, Eibe Frank, Devon L. L. Polaschek +1
This article introduces a new method for eliciting prior distributions from experts. The method models an expert decision-making process to infer a prior probability distribution f…
stat.ME2021
Methods for Eliciting Informative Prior Distributions: A Critical Review
Julia R. Falconer, Eibe Frank, Devon L. L. Polaschek +1
Eliciting informative prior distributions for Bayesian inference can often be complex and challenging. While popular methods rely on asking experts probability based questions to q…