6 citations · 6 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.AP2026
Possible, Yes; Ignorant, Perhaps: A Scorecard for Possibilistic Forecasts
John R. Lawson
Probabilistic forecasts must sum to unity and cannot express ``I don't know.'' Possibility theory relaxes this constraint: a subnormal distribution explicitly measures how much of…
stat.AP2025
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal
John R. Lawson
The national forecasting competition WxChallenge, brainchild of Brad Illston at the University of Oklahoma in 2005, has become a cherished institution played across the United Stat…
stat.AP2024
Communicating Risk with Possibility, Not Probability
John R. Lawson
Communicating forecast uncertainty effectively is a persistent challenge in predictive endeavours such as weather forecasting. This paper explores the application of possibility th…