5 papers
Behavioral Probability Weighting and Portfolio Optimization under Semi-Heavy Tails
Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali M. Jaffri +2
This paper develops a unified framework that integrates behavioral distortions into rational portfolio optimization by extracting implied probability weighting functions (PWFs) fro…
Winners vs. Losers: Momentum-based Strategies with Intertemporal Choice for ESG Portfolios
Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2
This paper introduces a state-dependent momentum framework that integrates ESG regime switching with tail-risk-aware reward-risk metrics. Using a dynamic programming approach and s…
Multivariate Affine GARCH with Heavy Tails: A Unified Framework for Portfolio Optimization and Option Valuation
Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2
This paper develops and estimates a multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) model with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations that captures time-varying volatility, heavy tails, and dynamic co…
Advancing Portfolio Optimization: Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolios and Minimum Risk Rate Frameworks
Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2
This study presents the Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolio (AMVP) framework and the Adaptive Minimum-Risk Rate (AMRR) metric, innovative tools designed to optimize portfolios dyna…
Optimizing Portfolios with Pakistan-Exposed ETFs: Risk and Performance Insight
Ali Jaffri, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ayush Jha +2
This study examines the investment landscape of Pakistan as an emerging and frontier market, focusing on implications for international investors, particularly those in the United…