activity
20232026
most citedGenerative ensemble deep learning severe weather prediction from a deterministic convection-allowing model

10 citations · 20 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

physics.ao-ph2026

Kilometer-Scale AI Downscaling of Atlantic Hurricanes with Generative Ensembles

Yingkai Sha, Talea L. Mayo, Ethan D. Gutmann +2

This study presents an AI-based dynamical downscaling system for Tropical Cyclones (TCs). The system incorporates an AI-based limited-area model that downscales 3-hourly low-resolu…

physics.ao-ph2026

Hard conservation correctors can hide a degrading model when training autoregressive emulators

William E. Chapman, John Schreck, Yingkai Sha

AI weather and climate emulators increasingly incorporate physical principles into their formulation. One approach is to apply hard correctors that modify network outputs so that g…

physics.ao-ph2026

AI-Based Regional Emulation for Kilometer-Scale Dynamical Downscaling

Yingkai Sha, Tracy Hertneky, Ethan Gutmann +6

An AI-based Limited-Area Model (LAM) is developed for dynamical downscaling over the Southern Great Plains and the southeastern United States, with strong generalization abilities…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 3 cited

Improving Medium Range Severe Weather Prediction through Transformer Post-processing of AI Weather Forecasts

Zhanxiang Hua, Ryan Sobash, David John Gagne +2

Improving the skill of medium-range (3-8 day) severe weather prediction is crucial for mitigating societal impacts. This study introduces a novel approach leveraging decoder-only t…

physics.ao-ph2025

CAMulator: Fast Emulation of the Community Atmosphere Model

William E. Chapman, John S. Schreck, Yingkai Sha +5

We introduce CAMulator version 1, an auto-regressive machine-learned (ML) emulator of the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) that simulates the next atmospheric state give…

physics.ao-ph2025

Investigating the use of terrain-following coordinates in AI-driven precipitation forecasts

Yingkai Sha, John S. Schreck, William Chapman +1

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel solution to tackle this problem -- integ…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

Improving AI weather prediction models using global mass and energy conservation schemes

Yingkai Sha, John S. Schreck, William Chapman +1

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models are powerful tools for medium-range forecasts but often lack physical consistency, leading to outputs that violate con…

cs.AI2024★ 3 cited

Community Research Earth Digital Intelligence Twin (CREDIT)

John Schreck, Yingkai Sha, William Chapman +7

Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) for numerical weather prediction (NWP) have significantly transformed atmospheric modeling. AI NWP models outperform traditional…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 3 cited

Improving ensemble extreme precipitation forecasts using generative artificial intelligence

Yingkai Sha, Ryan A. Sobash, David John Gagne

An ensemble post-processing method is developed to improve the probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation events across the conterminous United States (CONUS). The method com…

cs.LG2023★ 10 cited

Generative ensemble deep learning severe weather prediction from a deterministic convection-allowing model

Yingkai Sha, Ryan A. Sobash, David John Gagne

An ensemble post-processing method is developed for the probabilistic prediction of severe weather (tornadoes, hail, and wind gusts) over the conterminous United States (CONUS). Th…