activity
19992023
most citedStatistical Basis for Predicting Technological Progress

347 citations · 1.3k across the 32 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing physics.soc-phShow all

6 papers · 1 filter

physics.soc-ph2017

Best reply structure and equilibrium convergence in generic games

Marco Pangallo, Torsten Heinrich, J Doyne Farmer

Game theory is widely used as a behavioral model for strategic interactions in biology and social science. It is common practice to assume that players quickly converge to an equil…

physics.soc-ph2012★ 347 cited

Statistical Basis for Predicting Technological Progress

Bela Nagy, J. Doyne Farmer, Quan M. Bui +1

Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improveme…

physics.soc-ph2010★ 5 cited

The cause of universality in growth fluctuations

Yonathan Schwarzkopf, Robert L. Axtell, J. Doyne Farmer

Phenomena as diverse as breeding bird populations, the size of U.S. firms, money invested in mutual funds, the GDP of individual countries and the scientific output of universities…

physics.soc-ph2010★ 121 cited

Historical Costs of Coal-Fired Electricity and Implications for the Future

James McNerney, J. Doyne Farmer, Jessika E. Trancik

We study the costs of coal-fired electricity in the United States between 1882 and 2006 by decomposing it in terms of the price of coal, transportation costs, energy density, therm…

physics.soc-ph2007★ 4 cited

A simple evolutionary game with feedback between perception and reality

Dmitriy Cherkashin, J. Doyne Farmer, Seth Lloyd

We study an evolutionary game of chance in which the probabilities for different outcomes (e.g., heads or tails) depend on the amount wagered on those outcomes. The game is perhaps…

physics.soc-ph2005★ 7 cited

An empirical behavioral model of price formation

Szabolcs Mike, J. Doyne Farmer

Although behavioral economics has demonstrated that there are many situations where rational choice is a poor empirical model, it has so far failed to provide quantitative models o…