321 citations · 825 across the 47 of their papers we have counts for
15 papers · 1 filter
Improving the use of social contact studies in epidemic modelling
Tom Britton, Frank Ball
Social contact studies, investigating social contact patterns in a population sample, have been an important contribution for epidemic models to better fit real life epidemics. A c…
SIRS epidemics with individual heterogeneity of immunity waning
Mohamed El Khalifi, Tom Britton
We analyse an extended SIRS epidemic model in which immunity at the individual level wanes gradually at exponential rate, but where the waning rate may differ between individuals,…
Extending SIRS epidemics to allow for gradual waning of immunity
Mohamed El Khalifi, Tom Britton
SIRS epidemic models assume that individual immunity (from infection and vaccination) wanes in one big leap, from complete immunity to complete susceptibility. For many diseases im…
Modelling preventive measures and their effect on generation times in emerging epidemics
Martina Favero, Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Tom Britton
We present a stochastic epidemic model to study the effect of various preventive measures, such as uniform reduction of contacts and transmission, vaccination, isolation, screening…
Analysing the Effect of Test-and-Trace Strategy in an SIR Epidemic Model
Dongni Zhang, Tom Britton
Consider a Markovian SIR epidemic model in a homogeneous community. To this model we add a rate at which individuals are tested, and once an infectious individual tests positive it…
The risk for a new COVID-19 wave -- and how it depends on , the current immunity level and current restrictions
Tom Britton, Pieter Trapman, Frank Ball
The COVID-19 pandemic has hit different parts of the world differently: some regions are still in the rise of the first wave, other regions are now facing a decline after a first w…