3 papers
stat.ME2026
Diagnostic Tools for Extreme Value Regression Models
Ed Mackay, Jordan Richards, Philip Jonathan
Visual and quantitative goodness-of-fit diagnostics are an important tool in the practitioner's toolbox. The need for convincing and reliable diagnostics is particularly clear when…
physics.ao-ph2026
Model selection in extreme value regression for estimation of changes in return values over time applied to extreme annual regional CMIP6 desert temperatures
Callum Leach, Kevin Ewans, Philip Jonathan
Estimating changes in extremes quantiles from environmental processes non-stationary in time, from small samples is challenging since it is difficult to characterise tail non-stati…
stat.AP2025
Changes over time in the 100-year return value of climate model variables
Callum Leach, Kevin Ewans, Philip Jonathan
We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We…