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cs.CY2024

Systematic analysis of the effectiveness of adding human mobility data to covid-19 case prediction linear models

Saad Mohammad Abrar, Naman Awasthi, Daniel Smolyak +1

Human mobility data has been extensively used in covid-19 case prediction models. Nevertheless, related work has questioned whether mobility data really helps that much. We present…

cs.LG2024

DemOpts: Fairness corrections in COVID-19 case prediction models

Naman Awasthi, Saad Abrar, Daniel Smolyak +1

COVID-19 forecasting models have been used to inform decision making around resource allocation and intervention decisions e.g., hospital beds or stay-at-home orders. State of the…

cs.CY2024

COVID-19's Unequal Toll: An assessment of small business impact disparities with respect to ethnorace in metropolitan areas in the US using mobility data

Saad Mohammad Abrar, Kazi Tasnim Zinat, Naman Awasthi +1

Early in the pandemic, counties and states implemented a variety of non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs) focused on mobility, such as national lockdowns or work-from-home strat…

physics.soc-ph2024

Assessing the Impact of Case Correction Methods on the Fairness of COVID-19 Predictive Models

Daniel Smolyak, Saad Abrar, Naman Awasthi +1

One of the central difficulties of addressing the COVID-19 pandemic has been accurately measuring and predicting the spread of infections. In particular, official COVID-19 case cou…

stat.AP2024

Auditing the Fairness of the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub's Case Prediction Models

Saad Mohammad Abrar, Naman Awasthi, Daniel Smolyak +1

The US COVID-19 Forecast Hub, a repository of COVID-19 forecasts from over 50 independent research groups, is used by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for their…