93 citations · 746 across the 53 of their papers we have counts for
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AI can identify Solar System instability billions of years in advance
Dorian S. Abbot, J. D. Laurence-Chasen, Robert J. Webber +2
Rare event schemes require an approximation of the probability of the rare event as a function of system state. Finding an appropriate reaction coordinate is typically the most cha…
Mercury's chaotic secular evolution as a subdiffusive process
Dorian S. Abbot, Robert J. Webber, David M. Hernandez +2
Mercury's orbit can destabilize, generally resulting in a collision with either Venus or the Sun. Chaotic evolution can cause g1 to decrease to the approximately constant value of…
Simple physics and integrators accurately reproduce Mercury instability statistics
Dorian S. Abbot, David M. Hernandez, Sam Hadden +3
The long-term stability of the Solar System is an issue of significant scientific and philosophical interest. The mechanism leading to instability is Mercury's eccentricity being p…
Rare Event Sampling Improves Mercury Instability Statistics
Dorian S. Abbot, Robert J. Webber, Sam Hadden +2
Due to the chaotic nature of planetary dynamics, there is a non-zero probability that Mercury's orbit will become unstable in the future. Previous efforts have estimated the probab…