1 citations · 5 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for
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Direct Interval Propagation Methods using Neural-Network Surrogates for Uncertainty Quantification in Physical Systems Surrogate Model
Ghifari Adam Faza, Jolan Wauters, Fabio Cuzzolin +2
In engineering, uncertainty propagation aims to characterise system outputs under uncertain inputs. For interval uncertainty, the goal is to determine output bounds given interval-…
Epistemic Generative Adversarial Networks
Muhammad Mubashar, Fabio Cuzzolin
Generative models, particularly Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), often suffer from a lack of output diversity, frequently generating similar samples rather than a wide range…
Set-based v.s. Distribution-based Representations of Epistemic Uncertainty: A Comparative Study
Kaizheng Wang, Yunjia Wang, Fabio Cuzzolin +3
Epistemic uncertainty in neural networks is commonly modeled using two second-order paradigms: distribution-based representations, which rely on posterior parameter distributions,…
Learning Credal Ensembles via Distributionally Robust Optimization
Kaizheng Wang, Ghifari Adam Faza, Fabio Cuzzolin +3
Credal predictors are models that are aware of epistemic uncertainty and produce a convex set of probabilistic predictions. They offer a principled way to quantify predictive epist…
Credal and Interval Deep Evidential Classifications
Michele Caprio, Shireen K. Manchingal, Fabio Cuzzolin
Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) presents a pivotal challenge in the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI), profoundly impacting decision-making, risk assessment and model reliabili…
Credal Ensemble Distillation for Uncertainty Quantification
Kaizheng Wang, Fabio Cuzzolin, David Moens +1
Deep ensembles (DE) have emerged as a powerful approach for quantifying predictive uncertainty and distinguishing its aleatoric and epistemic components, thereby enhancing model ro…
Epistemic Wrapping for Uncertainty Quantification
Maryam Sultana, Neil Yorke-Smith, Kaizheng Wang +3
Uncertainty estimation is pivotal in machine learning, especially for classification tasks, as it improves the robustness and reliability of models. We introduce a novel `Epistemic…
Generalized Decision Focused Learning under Imprecise Uncertainty--Theoretical Study
Keivan Shariatmadar, Neil Yorke-Smith, Ahmad Osman +3
Decision Focused Learning has emerged as a critical paradigm for integrating machine learning with downstream optimisation. Despite its promise, existing methodologies predominantl…
A Unified Evaluation Framework for Epistemic Predictions
Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal, Muhammad Mubashar, Kaizheng Wang +1
Predictions of uncertainty-aware models are diverse, ranging from single point estimates (often averaged over prediction samples) to predictive distributions, to set-valued or cred…
Credal Wrapper of Model Averaging for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification
Kaizheng Wang, Fabio Cuzzolin, Keivan Shariatmadar +2
This paper presents an innovative approach, called credal wrapper, to formulating a credal set representation of model averaging for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensemb…
Generalising realisability in statistical learning theory under epistemic uncertainty
Fabio Cuzzolin
The purpose of this paper is to look into how central notions in statistical learning theory, such as realisability, generalise under the assumption that train and test distributio…
Credal Learning Theory
Michele Caprio, Maryam Sultana, Eleni Elia +1
Statistical learning theory is the foundation of machine learning, providing theoretical bounds for the risk of models learned from a (single) training set, assumed to issue from a…
CreINNs: Credal-Set Interval Neural Networks for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification Tasks
Kaizheng Wang, Keivan Shariatmadar, Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal +3
Effective uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly attractive for enhancing the reliability of neural networks. This work presents a novel approach, termed Credal-Set Interv…