2 papers
cs.LG2025
The Relationship between No-Regret Learning and Online Conformal Prediction
Ramya Ramalingam, Shayan Kiyani, Aaron Roth
Existing algorithms for online conformal prediction -- guaranteeing marginal coverage in adversarial settings -- are variants of online gradient descent (OGD), but their analyses o…
cs.LG2025
Decision Theoretic Foundations for Conformal Prediction: Optimal Uncertainty Quantification for Risk-Averse Agents
Shayan Kiyani, George Pappas, Aaron Roth +1
A fundamental question in data-driven decision making is how to quantify the uncertainty of predictions in ways that can usefully inform downstream action. This interface between p…