72 citations · 136 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for
15 papers
FLARE-AI: Flaw Reporting for AI
Shayne Longpre, Elaine Zhu, Carson Ezell +15
Flaw reporting for deployed AI systems is fundamental to identifying system failures and improving AI safety. Yet the AI reporting ecosystem is fragmented: researchers who identify…
RCTs for Frontier AI Governance: Methodological Challenges and Solutions for Human Uplift Studies
Patricia Paskov, Kevin Wei, Shen Zhou Hong +7
Human uplift studies, or studies that measure the effects of AI access on human performance via randomized controlled trials (RCT) or similar methodologies, increasingly inform fro…
Dark Speculation: Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Understanding in Frontier AI Risk Analysis
Daniel Carpenter, Carson Ezell, Pratyush Mallick +1
Estimating catastrophic harms from frontier AI is hindered by deep ambiguity: many of its risks are not only unobserved but unanticipated by analysts. The central limitation of cur…
Incident Analysis for AI Agents
Carson Ezell, Xavier Roberts-Gaal, Alan Chan
As AI agents become more widely deployed, we are likely to see an increasing number of incidents: events involving AI agent use that directly or indirectly cause harm. For example,…
Multi-Agent Risks from Advanced AI
Lewis Hammond, Alan Chan, Jesse Clifton +41
The rapid development of advanced AI agents and the imminent deployment of many instances of these agents will give rise to multi-agent systems of unprecedented complexity. These s…
The AI Agent Index
Stephen Casper, Luke Bailey, Rosco Hunter +12
Leading AI developers and startups are increasingly deploying agentic AI systems that can plan and execute complex tasks with limited human involvement. However, there is currently…
How Do AI Companies "Fine-Tune" Policy? Examining Regulatory Capture in AI Governance
Kevin Wei, Carson Ezell, Nick Gabrieli +1
Industry actors in the United States have gained extensive influence in conversations about the regulation of general-purpose artificial intelligence (AI) systems. Although industr…
An FDA for AI? Pitfalls and Plausibility of Approval Regulation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence
Daniel Carpenter, Carson Ezell
Observers and practitioners of artificial intelligence (AI) have proposed an FDA-style licensing regime for the most advanced AI models, or 'frontier' models. In this paper, we exp…
Black-Box Access is Insufficient for Rigorous AI Audits
Stephen Casper, Carson Ezell, Charlotte Siegmann +18
External audits of AI systems are increasingly recognized as a key mechanism for AI governance. The effectiveness of an audit, however, depends on the degree of access granted to a…
Visibility into AI Agents
Alan Chan, Carson Ezell, Max Kaufmann +9
Increased delegation of commercial, scientific, governmental, and personal activities to AI agents -- systems capable of pursuing complex goals with limited supervision -- may exac…
The Scientific Investigation of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) Using Multimodal Ground-Based Observatories
Wesley Andrés Watters, Abraham Loeb, Frank Laukien +35
(Abridged) Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) have resisted explanation and have received little formal scientific attention for 75 years. A primary objective of the Galileo Proje…
SkyWatch: A Passive Multistatic Radar Network for the Measurement of Object Position and Velocity
Mitch Randall, Alex Delacroix, Carson Ezell +7
(Abridged) Quantitative three-dimensional (3D) position and velocity estimates obtained by passive radar will assist the Galileo Project in the detection and classification of aeri…
Detection Rate of <50-meter Interstellar Objects with LSST
Carson Ezell, Abraham Loeb
The previous decade saw the discovery of the first four known interstellar objects due to advances in astronomical viewing equipment. Future sky surveys with greater sensitivity wi…
The Inferred Abundance of Interstellar Objects of Technological Origin
Carson Ezell, Abraham Loeb
The local detection rate of interstellar objects can allow for estimations of the total number of similar objects bound by the Milky Way thin disk. If interstellar objects of artif…
A Lunar Backup Record of Humanity
Carson Ezell, Alexandre Lazarian, Abraham Loeb
The risk of a catastrophic or existential disaster for our civilization is increasing this century. A significant motivation for a near-term space settlement is the opportunity to…