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stat.ME2025
Can a calibration metric be both testable and actionable?
Raphael Rossellini, Jake A. Soloff, Rina Foygel Barber +2
Forecast probabilities often serve as critical inputs for binary decision making. In such settings, calibration$\unicode{x2014}$ensuring forecasted probabilities match empirical fr…
stat.ME2025
Testing conditional independence under isotonicity
Rohan Hore, Jake A. Soloff, Rina Foygel Barber +1
We propose a test of the conditional independence of random variables and~ given~ under the additional assumption that is stochastically nondecreasing in~. The wel…