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cs.SI2014★ 2 cited
The Mythical Swing Voter
David Rothschild, Sharad Goel, Andrew Gelman +1
The only acceptable form of polling in the multi-billion dollar survey research field utilizes representative samples. We argue that with proper statistical adjustment, non-represe…
stat.ME2014★ 10 cited
How Bayesian Analysis Cracked the Red-State, Blue-State Problem
Andrew Gelman
In the United States as in other countries, political and economic divisions cut along geographic and demographic lines. Richer people are more likely to vote for Republican candid…