collaborators

7 papers

stat.ME2026

What is your Prior Worth? Effective Sample Size and Sample Size Planning for Gaussian Graphical Models

Giuseppe Arena, Lourens Waldorp, Maarten Marsman

In Bayesian analysis, the prior effective sample size (ESS) expresses the information carried by a prior distribution in units of observations, quantifying how much independent inf…

stat.ME2026

Comparing Variable Selection and Model Averaging Methods for Logistic Regression

Nikola Sekulovski, František Bartoš, Don van den Bergh +6

Model uncertainty is a central challenge in statistical models for binary outcomes such as logistic regression, arising when it is unclear which predictors should be included in th…

stat.ME2026

Reversible Jump MCMC With No Regrets: Bayesian Variable Selection Using Mixtures of Mutually Singular Distributions

Don van den Bergh, Merlise A. Clyde, Adrian E. Raftery +1

Bayesian variable selection requires sampling from a posterior distribution that combines discrete model indicators with continuously varying parameters, a challenge often addresse…

stat.ME2026

Efficient Bayes Factor Sensitivity Analysis via Posterior Density Ratios

František Bartoš, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Maarten Marsman +1

Bayes factor sensitivity analysis examines how the evidence for one hypothesis over another depends on the prior distribution. In complex models, the standard approach refits the m…

stat.AP2026

Blume-Capel model: Estimation of a three stable state network for , and data

Lourens Waldorp, Jonas Dalege, Maarten Marsman +3

An extension of the Ising model is proposed as a viable alternative for data with values , and in the inverse problem, i.e., estimation of the parameters. This model i…

stat.ME2026

Bayesian Inference for Discrete Markov Random Fields Through Coordinate Rescaling

Giuseppe Arena, Maarten Marsman

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in thes…