19 citations · 24 across the 12 of their papers we have counts for
12 papers
Fixes to the Ryden & McNeil Ammonia Flux Model
William M Briggs, Jaap Hanekamp
We propose two simple fixes to the Ryden and McNeil ammonia flux model. These are necessary to prevent estimates from becoming unphysical, which very often happens and which has no…
Uncertainty in the MAN Data Calibration & Trend Estimates
William M. Briggs, Jaap Hanekamp
We investigate trend identification in the LML and MAN atmospheric ammonia data. The signals are mixed in the LML data, with just as many positive, negative, and no trends found. T…
The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill
William M. Briggs
There is a third way of implementing probability models and practicing. This is to answer questions put in terms of observables. This eliminates frequentist hypothesis testing and…
The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause
William M. Briggs
Probability models are only useful at explaining the uncertainty of what we do not know, and should never be used to say what we already know. Probability and statistical models ar…
The Problem Of Grue Isn't
William M. Briggs
The so-called problem of grue was introduced by Nelson Goodman in 1954 as a "riddle" about induction, a riddle which has been widely thought to cast doubt on the validity and ratio…
On Probability Leakage
William M. Briggs
The probability leakage of model M with respect to evidence E is defined. Probability leakage is a kind of model error. It occurs when M implies that events , which are impossib…