215 citations · 1.8k across the 43 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.AP2023
Preventing the Forecaster's Evaluation Dilemma
Malte C. Tichy
Assume that a grocery item is sold 1'234 times on a given day. What should an ideal forecast have predicted for such a well-selling item, on average? More generally, when consideri…
stat.AP2022★ 1 cited
Scaling-aware rating of Poisson-limited demand forecasts
Malte C. Tichy, Illia Babounikau, Nikolas Wolke +2
Forecast quality should be assessed in the context of what is possible in theory and what is reasonable to expect in practice. Often, one can identify an approximate upper bound to…