6 papers
Optimisation of tipping pathways in a spatially heterogeneous world
Aurora Faure Ragani, Robbin Bastiaansen
In spatially extended systems, tipping does not necessarily lead to a uniform, abrupt transition typical of low-dimensional conceptual climate models. Instead, spatially structured…
Early warning of critical transitions: distinguishing tipping points from Turing destabilizations
Paul A. Sanders, Robbin Bastiaansen
Current early warning signs for tipping points often fail to distinguish between catastrophic shifts and less dramatic state changes, such as spatial pattern formation. This paper…
The role of coupling and timescales for interacting tipping elements
Paul D. L. Ritchie, Robbin Bastiaansen, Anna S. von der Heydt +1
Sudden and abrupt changes can occur in a nonlinear system within many fields of science when such a system crosses a tipping point and rapid changes of the system occur in response…
Assessment of Abrupt Shifts in CMIP6 Models using Edge Detection
Sjoerd Terpstra, Swinda K. J. Falkena, Robbin Bastiaansen +3
Past research has shown that multiple climate subsystems might undergo abrupt shifts, such as the Arctic Winter sea ice or the Amazon rainforest, but there are large uncertainties…
Early warning skill, extrapolation and tipping for accelerating cascades
Peter Ashwin, Robbin Bastiaansen, Anna S. von der Heydt +1
We investigate how nonlinear behaviour (both of forcing in time and of the system itself) can affect the skill of early warning signals to predict tipping in (directionally) couple…
Multi-front dynamics in spatially inhomogeneous Allen-Cahn equations
Robbin Bastiaansen, Arjen Doelman, Tasso J. Kaper
Recent studies of biological, chemical, and physical pattern-forming systems have started to go beyond the classic `near onset' and `far from equilibrium' theories for homogeneous…