7 citations · 12 across the 12 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
No Answer Needed: Predicting LLM Answer Accuracy from Question-Only Linear Probes
Iván Vicente Moreno Cencerrado, Arnau Padrés Masdemont, Anton Gonzalvez Hawthorne +2
Do large language models (LLMs) anticipate when they will answer correctly? To study this, we extract activations after a question is read but before any tokens are generated, and…
PredictaBoard: Benchmarking LLM Score Predictability
Lorenzo Pacchiardi, Konstantinos Voudouris, Ben Slater +4
Despite possessing impressive skills, Large Language Models (LLMs) often fail unpredictably, demonstrating inconsistent success in even basic common sense reasoning tasks. This unp…
Leaving the barn door open for Clever Hans: Simple features predict LLM benchmark answers
Lorenzo Pacchiardi, Marko Tesic, Lucy G. Cheke +1
The integrity of AI benchmarks is fundamental to accurately assess the capabilities of AI systems. The internal validity of these benchmarks - i.e., making sure they are free from…
100 instances is all you need: predicting the success of a new LLM on unseen data by testing on a few instances
Lorenzo Pacchiardi, Lucy G. Cheke, José Hernández-Orallo
Predicting the performance of LLMs on individual task instances is essential to ensure their reliability in high-stakes applications. To do so, a possibility is to evaluate the con…
How to Catch an AI Liar: Lie Detection in Black-Box LLMs by Asking Unrelated Questions
Lorenzo Pacchiardi, Alex J. Chan, Sören Mindermann +5
Large language models (LLMs) can "lie", which we define as outputting false statements despite "knowing" the truth in a demonstrable sense. LLMs might "lie", for example, when inst…