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20212026
most citedA review of predictive uncertainty estimation with machine learning

158 citations · 341 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for

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stat.ML2026

Learning with the Nash-Sutcliffe loss

Hristos Tyralis, Georgia Papacharalampous

The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency () is a widely used, positively oriented relative measure for evaluating forecasts across multiple time series. However, it lacks a decisi…

stat.ML2025

Variable transformations in consistent loss functions

Hristos Tyralis, Georgia Papacharalampous

The empirical use of variable transformations within (strictly) consistent loss functions is widespread, yet a theoretical understanding is lacking. To address this gap, we develop…

stat.ML2023★ 10 cited

Uncertainty estimation of machine learning spatial precipitation predictions from satellite data

Georgia Papacharalampous, Hristos Tyralis, Nikolaos Doulamis +1

Merging satellite and gauge data with machine learning produces high-resolution precipitation datasets, but uncertainty estimates are often missing. We addressed the gap of how to…

stat.ML2023★ 7 cited

Deep Huber quantile regression networks

Hristos Tyralis, Georgia Papacharalampous, Nilay Dogulu +1

Typical machine learning regression applications aim to report the mean or the median of the predictive probability distribution, via training with a squared or an absolute error s…

stat.ML2022★ 158 cited

A review of predictive uncertainty estimation with machine learning

Hristos Tyralis, Georgia Papacharalampous

Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Al…