6 papers
The Delegation Divide: An Open Index of AI-Agent Delegability across Occupations and Countries
Cristian Espinal Maya, Santiago Jiménez Londoño
35.2% of task time in world employment is at least partly delegable to AI agents in 2026, and only 2.5% can be handed over in full. Existing measures score exposure to generative A…
Discretion at the Margin: Threshold Manipulation and Electoral Bans in Colombian Public Procurement
Cristian Espinal Maya, Santiago Jiménez Londoño
Public procurement laws trade rules against discretion with value thresholds: below them, buyers use faster and less competitive procedures. Colombia offers an unusually clean sett…
Measuring What Cannot Be Surveyed: LLMs as Instruments for Latent Cognitive Variables in Labor Economics
Cristian Espinal Maya
This paper establishes the theoretical and practical foundations for using Large Language Models (LLMs) as measurement instruments for latent economic variables -- specifically var…
From Automation to Augmentation: A Framework for Designing Human-Centric Work Environments in Society 5.0
Cristian Espinal Maya
Society 5.0 and Industry 5.0 call for human-centric technology integration, yet the concept lacks an operational definition that can be measured, optimized, or evaluated at the fir…
Augmented Human Capital: A Unified Theory and LLM-Based Measurement Framework for Cognitive Factor Decomposition in AI-Augmented Economies
Cristian Espinal Maya
This paper proposes a decomposition of human capital into three orthogonal components -- physical-manual (H^P), routine-cognitive (H^C), and augmentable-cognitive (H^A) -- and deve…
Determinants of Workplace Flextime Flexibility: An Empirical Analysis
Cristian Espinal Maya, Santiago Jiménez Londoño
This study examines the factors that determine workplace autonomy in the choice of schedules, using GEIH data for formal employees from January 2023 to February 2024. A logistic re…