7 papers
Forecast Collapse in Time-Series Foundation Models
Shu Wan, Miles Ma, Hank Zhu +4
When forecasting hourly returns for 1,000 US equities, we observe an unexpected phenomenon: predictions become nearly flat and show poor stock ranking, as measured by cross-section…
DAGverse: Building Document-Grounded Semantic DAGs from Scientific Papers
Shu Wan, Saketh Vishnubhatla, Iskander Kushbay +4
Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are widely used to represent structured knowledge in scientific and technical domains. However, datasets for real-world DAGs remain scarce because co…
CauSTream: Causal Spatio-Temporal Representation Learning for Streamflow Forecasting
Shu Wan, Reepal Shah, John Sabo +2
Streamflow forecasting is crucial for water resource management and risk mitigation. While deep learning models have achieved strong predictive performance, they often overlook und…
Causality Guided Representation Learning for Cross-Style Hate Speech Detection
Chengshuai Zhao, Shu Wan, Paras Sheth +3
The proliferation of online hate speech poses a significant threat to the harmony of the web. While explicit hate is easily recognized through overt slurs, implicit hate speech is…
Spatio-temporal Causal Learning for Streamflow Forecasting
Shu Wan, Reepal Shah, Qi Deng +3
Streamflow plays an essential role in the sustainable planning and management of national water resources. Traditional hydrologic modeling approaches simulate streamflow by establi…
Introducing CausalBench: A Flexible Benchmark Framework for Causal Analysis and Machine Learning
Ahmet Kapkiç, Pratanu Mandal, Shu Wan +5
While witnessing the exceptional success of machine learning (ML) technologies in many applications, users are starting to notice a critical shortcoming of ML: correlation is a poo…
Prioritizing Potential Wetland Areas via Region-to-Region Knowledge Transfer and Adaptive Propagation
Yoonhyuk Choi, Reepal Shah, John Sabo +2
Wetlands are important to communities, offering benefits ranging from water purification, and flood protection to recreation and tourism. Therefore, identifying and prioritizing po…