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20232026
most citedEarly-Warning Signs for SPDEs with Continuous Spectrum

1 citations · 2 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for

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math.PR2026

Impact of spinning on the early-warning signs in non-Markovian stochastic systems

Paolo Bernuzzi, Alexandra Blessing, Dennis Rudik

We construct early-warning signals for impending critical transitions in non-Markovian systems. We analyze stochastic forcings such as fractional Brownian motion, fractional Ornste…

math.PR2025★ 1 cited

Critical Slowing Down in Bifurcating Stochastic Partial Differential Equations with Red Noise

Paolo Bernuzzi, Christian Kuehn, Andreas Morr

The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) has played a key role in the search for reliable precursors of catastrophic regime shifts. This is caused by its presence in a generic…

math.PR2025

Probability of Transition to Turbulence in a Reduced Stochastic Model of Pipe Flow

Paolo Bernuzzi, Christian Kuehn

We study the phenomenon of turbulence initiation in pipe flow under different noise structures by estimating the probability of initiating metastable transitions. We establish lowe…

math.PR2024

Large Deviation Minimisers for Stochastic Partial Differential Equations with Degenerate Noise

Paolo Bernuzzi, Tobias Grafke

Noise-induced transitions between multistable states happen in a multitude of systems, such as species extinction in biology, protein folding, or tipping points in climate science.…

math.PR2024

Warning Signs for Boundary Noise and their Application to an Ocean Boussinesq Model

Paolo Bernuzzi, Henk A. Dijkstra, Christian Kuehn

In this paper, we construct and discuss early-warning signs of the approach of a parameter to a deterministic bifurcation on a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) model…

math.PR2023★ 1 cited

Early-Warning Signs for SPDEs with Continuous Spectrum

Paolo Bernuzzi, Antonia Düx, Christian Kühn

In this work, we study early-warning signs for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs), where the linearization around a steady state has continuous spectrum. The studied…