506 citations · 1.3k across the 28 of their papers we have counts for
32 papers
Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms
Yuhong Luo, David M. Pennock, Xintong Wang
It is increasingly common to aggregate predictions from multiple LLMs, each with domain expertise or access to private tools and data, to improve collective prediction performance.…
Efficiency of Constant Log Utility Market Makers
Maneesha Papireddygari, Xintong Wang, Bo Waggoner +1
Automated Market Makers (AMMs) are used to provide liquidity for combinatorial prediction markets that would otherwise be too thinly traded. They offer both buy and sell prices for…
Post-Match Error Mitigation for Deferred Acceptance
Abraham Gale, Amélie Marian, David M. Pennock
Real-life applications of deferred-acceptance (DA) matching algorithms sometimes exhibit errors or changes to the matching inputs that are discovered only after the algorithm has b…
Toward Fair and Strategyproof Tournament Rules for Tournaments with Partially Transferable Utilities
David Pennock, Ariel Schvartzman, Eric Xue
A tournament on agents is a complete oriented graph with the agents as vertices and edges that describe the win-loss outcomes of the matches played between each…
A prototype hybrid prediction market for estimating replicability of published work
Tatiana Chakravorti, Robert Fraleigh, Timothy Fritton +7
We present a prototype hybrid prediction market and demonstrate the avenue it represents for meaningful human-AI collaboration. We build on prior work proposing artificial predicti…
Artificial prediction markets present a novel opportunity for human-AI collaboration
Tatiana Chakravorti, Vaibhav Singh, Sarah Rajtmajer +6
Despite high-profile successes in the field of Artificial Intelligence, machine-driven technologies still suffer important limitations, particularly for complex tasks where creativ…