2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
An observationally constrained probabilistic trigger for organized deep convection in an NWP ensemble
Mark R. Muetzelfeldt, Robert S. Plant, Hannah M. Christensen +5
A novel stochastic parametrization scheme representing organized convection is described. The effects of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are represented in an observationally c…
physics.ao-ph2026
Moisture Budgets and Circulation Analogs: Diagnosing Dynamic and Thermodynamic Precipitation Change
Robert Doane-Solomon, Isla R. Simpson, Tim Woollings
Precipitation trends can arise from both dynamic factors (changes in atmospheric circulation) and thermodynamic factors (changes in atmospheric moisture content). Disentangling the…