activity
20242026
most citedFourCastNet 3: A geometric approach to probabilistic machine-learning weather forecasting at scale

3 citations · 6 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

physics.ao-ph2026

ClimateBench v2.0: Probabilistic Climate Model Benchmarking

Duncan Watson-Parris, Willa Tobin, Aytaç Paçal +32

We present ClimateBench v2, a standardized protocol for evaluating climate models on diagnostics expected to be informative for their skill in projecting mid-century regional tempe…

physics.ao-ph2026

Examining Fast Radiatively Driven Responses Using Machine-Learning Weather Emulators

Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins, Travis A. O'Brien +10

The response of the climate system to increased greenhouse gases and other radiative perturbations is governed by a combination of fast and slow feedbacks. Slow feedbacks are typic…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

Constraining Atmospheric River Uncertainty Using Instantaneous Poleward Latent Heat Transport

Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins, William R. Boos +2

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are extreme weather events that play a crucial role in the global hydrological cycle. As a key mechanism of latent heat transport (LHT), they help maintain…

cs.LG2025★ 3 cited

FourCastNet 3: A geometric approach to probabilistic machine-learning weather forecasting at scale

Boris Bonev, Thorsten Kurth, Ankur Mahesh +7

FourCastNet 3 advances global weather modeling by implementing a scalable, geometric machine learning (ML) approach to probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The approach is designed…

cs.LG2024★ 2 cited

Analyzing and Exploring Training Recipes for Large-Scale Transformer-Based Weather Prediction

Jared D. Willard, Peter Harrington, Shashank Subramanian +3

The rapid rise of deep learning (DL) in numerical weather prediction (NWP) has led to a proliferation of models which forecast atmospheric variables with comparable or superior ski…