collaborators

7 papers

q-fin.PM2026

Portfolio Optimization for Commodity ETFs under Heavy-Tailed Returns

Nicholas Appiah, Ali Jaffri, Dilmi C. W. Hettiachchi-Halpe-Kankanamalage +1

This paper examines portfolio optimization for commodity exchange-traded funds (ETFs) under heavy-tailed return behavior. Using daily Bloomberg data for 30 U.S.-listed commodity ET…

econ.GN2026

Credit Capacity and the Propagation of Funding Shocks: Evidence from U.S. and Brazilian Financial Intermediaries

Ayush Jha, Ali Jaffri, Frank Fabozzi

Why do similar funding shocks generate sharply different credit outcomes across countries? We develop and estimate a dynamic structural model in which intermediary credit capacity…

econ.GN2025

Behavioral Probability Weighting and Portfolio Optimization under Semi-Heavy Tails

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali M. Jaffri +2

This paper develops a unified framework that integrates behavioral distortions into rational portfolio optimization by extracting implied probability weighting functions (PWFs) fro…

econ.GN2025

Winners vs. Losers: Momentum-based Strategies with Intertemporal Choice for ESG Portfolios

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2

This paper introduces a state-dependent momentum framework that integrates ESG regime switching with tail-risk-aware reward-risk metrics. Using a dynamic programming approach and s…

econ.EM2025

Multivariate Affine GARCH with Heavy Tails: A Unified Framework for Portfolio Optimization and Option Valuation

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2

This paper develops and estimates a multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) model with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations that captures time-varying volatility, heavy tails, and dynamic co…

econ.EM2025

Advancing Portfolio Optimization: Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolios and Minimum Risk Rate Frameworks

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2

This study presents the Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolio (AMVP) framework and the Adaptive Minimum-Risk Rate (AMRR) metric, innovative tools designed to optimize portfolios dyna…