activity
20232026
most citedClassifier Calibration with ROC-Regularized Isotonic Regression

3 citations · 4 across the 17 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

18 papers

cs.LG2026

Beyond Optimal Rates in Stochastic Optimization: Trajectory-Adaptive Stopping Rules

Liviu Aolaritei, Lucas Lévy, Francis Bach +1

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is typically analyzed at a deterministic horizon chosen before the algorithm is run, even though practical stopping decisions are made adaptively…

cs.LG2026

Eigenvalue Calibration for Semantic Embeddings of Large Language Models

Sebastian G. Gruber, Nassim Walha, Francis Bach +1

Uncertainty quantification is central to the reliable deployment of large language models (LLMs), and eigenvalues of semantic embeddings have recently emerged as a key tool in stat…

cs.LG2026

DecompRL: Solving Harder Problems by Learning Modular Code Generation

Juliette Decugis, Fabian Gloeckle, Francis Bach +2

How can Large Language Models (LLMs) solve problems they currently cannot? Repeated sampling scales test-time compute but GPU cost grows linearly with attempts, while reinforcement…

cs.LG2026

CalArena: A Large-Scale Post-Hoc Calibration Benchmark

Eugène Berta, David Holzmüller, Francis Bach +1

Reliable probability estimates are critical in many machine learning applications, yet modern classifiers are often poorly calibrated. Post-hoc calibration provides a simple and wi…

stat.ML2026

Super-Level-Set Regression: Conditional Quantiles via Volume Minimization

Sacha Braun, Michael I. Jordan, Francis Bach

Constructing minimum-volume prediction regions that satisfy conditional coverage is a fundamental challenge in multivariate regression. Standard approaches rely on explicitly estim…

cs.LG2026

Explaining and Preventing Alignment Collapse in Iterative RLHF

Etienne Gauthier, Francis Bach, Michael I. Jordan

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) typically assumes a static or non-strategic reward model (RM). In iterative deployment, however, the policy generates the data on…

stat.ML2026

V-ECE: Estimating General Expected Calibration Errors

Eugène Berta, Sacha Braun, David Holzmüller +2

In probabilistic classification, calibration error (CE) measures the average divergence of predicted probabilities from , the true class distribution for…

cs.GT2026

Anytime Detection of Strategic Deviations in Multi-Agent Systems

Etienne Gauthier, Francis Bach, Michael I. Jordan

In many multi-agent systems, agents interact repeatedly and are expected to settle into stable, rational behavior over time. Yet in practice, behavior often drifts, and detecting s…

stat.ML2025★ 1 cited

Conditional Coverage Diagnostics for Conformal Prediction

Sacha Braun, David Holzmüller, Michael I. Jordan +1

Evaluating conditional coverage remains one of the most persistent challenges in assessing the reliability of predictive systems. Although conformal methods can give guarantees on…

cs.LG2025

Structured Matrix Scaling for Multi-Class Calibration

Eugène Berta, David Holzmüller, Michael I. Jordan +1

Post-hoc recalibration methods are widely used to ensure that classifiers provide faithful probability estimates. We argue that parametric recalibration functions based on logistic…

stat.ML2025

Adaptive Coverage Policies in Conformal Prediction

Etienne Gauthier, Francis Bach, Michael I. Jordan

Traditional conformal prediction methods construct prediction sets such that the true label falls within the set with a user-specified coverage level. However, poorly chosen covera…

stat.ML2025

Multivariate Standardized Residuals for Conformal Prediction

Sacha Braun, Eugène Berta, Michael I. Jordan +1

While split conformal prediction guarantees marginal coverage, approaching the stronger property of conditional coverage is essential for reliable uncertainty quantification. Naive…

stat.ML2025

Backward Conformal Prediction

Etienne Gauthier, Francis Bach, Michael I. Jordan

We introduce , a method that guarantees conformal coverage while providing flexible control over the size of prediction sets. Unlike standar…

stat.ML2025

Minimum Volume Conformal Sets for Multivariate Regression

Sacha Braun, Liviu Aolaritei, Michael I. Jordan +1

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables…

stat.ML2025

E-Values Expand the Scope of Conformal Prediction

Etienne Gauthier, Francis Bach, Michael I. Jordan

Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification. The standard approach to conformal prediction relies on comparing the ranks of predic…

stat.ML2025

Statistical Collusion by Collectives on Learning Platforms

Etienne Gauthier, Francis Bach, Michael I. Jordan

As platforms increasingly rely on learning algorithms, collectives may form and seek ways to influence these platforms to align with their own interests. This can be achieved by co…

cs.LG2025

Rethinking Early Stopping: Refine, Then Calibrate

Eugène Berta, David Holzmüller, Michael I. Jordan +1

Machine learning classifiers often produce probabilistic predictions that are critical for accurate and interpretable decision-making in various domains. The quality of these predi…

cs.LG2023★ 3 cited

Classifier Calibration with ROC-Regularized Isotonic Regression

Eugene Berta, Francis Bach, Michael Jordan

Calibration of machine learning classifiers is necessary to obtain reliable and interpretable predictions, bridging the gap between model confidence and actual probabilities. One p…