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econ.EM2025★ 1 cited
Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States
Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell +1
This paper develops a mixed frequency vector autoregressive (MF-VAR) model to produce nowcasts and historical estimates of monthly real state-level GDP for the 50 U.S. states, plus…
econ.EM2023
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function
Tony Chernis, Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber +2
Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) provides a method for combining multiple predictive distributions based on agent/expert opinion analysis theory and encompasses a range of exist…