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20232026
most citedLarge Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters

96 citations · 100 across the 16 of their papers we have counts for

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14 papers · 1 filter

cs.LG2026

Epiplexity Guided Data Selection and Generation for Out-of-Distribution Generalization

Ellen Su, Andres Potapczynski, Shikai Qiu +2

Modern systems are increasingly expected to transfer across tasks not specified during training. What data facilitates generalization in these new, unanticipated settings? One hypo…

cs.LG2026

Requential Coding: Pushing the Limits of Model Compression with Self-Generated Training Data

Shikai Qiu, Marc Finzi, Yujia Zheng +2

Compression is fundamental to intelligence. A model that can represent its training data as a short code has discovered regularities that enable generalization. Large neural networ…

cs.LG2026

Emergent Capabilities Arise Randomly from Learning Sparse Attention Patterns

Vatsal Baherwani, Zixi Chen, Shikai Qiu +2

Neural scaling laws for transformer language models predict smooth improvements in pretraining loss with increasing parameters, but downstream capabilities such as in-context learn…

cs.LG2026

Forgetting in Language Models: Capacity, Optimization, and Self-Generated Replay

Martin Marek, Dongkyu Cho, Shikai Qiu +3

Models trained on a new task typically degrade on prior tasks, a phenomenon known as forgetting. Traditionally, mitigating forgetting has required replaying stored exemplars from p…

cs.LG2026

Hyperparameter Transfer Enables Consistent Gains of Matrix-Preconditioned Optimizers Across Scales

Shikai Qiu, Zixi Chen, Hoang Phan +2

Several recently introduced deep learning optimizers utilizing matrix-level preconditioning have shown promising speedups relative to the current dominant optimizer AdamW, particul…

cs.LG2026★ 2 cited

From Entropy to Epiplexity: Rethinking Information for Computationally Bounded Intelligence

Marc Finzi, Shikai Qiu, Yiding Jiang +3

Can we learn more from data than existed in the generating process itself? Can new and useful information be constructed from merely applying deterministic transformations to exist…

cs.LG2025

Customizing the Inductive Biases of Softmax Attention using Structured Matrices

Yilun Kuang, Noah Amsel, Sanae Lotfi +3

The core component of attention is the scoring function, which transforms the inputs into low-dimensional queries and keys and takes the dot product of each pair. While the low-dim…

cs.LG2025

Scaling Collapse Reveals Universal Dynamics in Compute-Optimally Trained Neural Networks

Shikai Qiu, Lechao Xiao, Andrew Gordon Wilson +2

What scaling limits govern neural network training dynamics when model size and training time grow in tandem? We show that despite the complex interactions between architecture, tr…

cs.LG2025

Out-of-Distribution Detection Methods Answer the Wrong Questions

Yucen Lily Li, Daohan Lu, Polina Kirichenko +4

To detect distribution shifts and improve model safety, many out-of-distribution (OOD) detection methods rely on the predictive uncertainty or features of supervised models trained…

cs.LG2024★ 1 cited

Searching for Efficient Linear Layers over a Continuous Space of Structured Matrices

Andres Potapczynski, Shikai Qiu, Marc Finzi +6

Dense linear layers are the dominant computational bottleneck in large neural networks, presenting a critical need for more efficient alternatives. Previous efforts focused on a sm…

cs.LG2024★ 1 cited

Transferring Knowledge from Large Foundation Models to Small Downstream Models

Shikai Qiu, Boran Han, Danielle C. Maddix +3

How do we transfer the relevant knowledge from ever larger foundation models into small, task-specific downstream models that can run at much lower costs? Standard transfer learnin…

cs.LG2024

Compute Better Spent: Replacing Dense Layers with Structured Matrices

Shikai Qiu, Andres Potapczynski, Marc Finzi +2

Dense linear layers are the dominant computational bottleneck in foundation models. Identifying more efficient alternatives to dense matrices has enormous potential for building mo…

cs.LG2023

Should We Learn Most Likely Functions or Parameters?

Shikai Qiu, Tim G. J. Rudner, Sanyam Kapoor +1

Standard regularized training procedures correspond to maximizing a posterior distribution over parameters, known as maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation. However, model parameter…

cs.LG2023★ 96 cited

Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters

Nate Gruver, Marc Finzi, Shikai Qiu +1

By encoding time series as a string of numerical digits, we can frame time series forecasting as next-token prediction in text. Developing this approach, we find that large languag…