activity
20082026
most citedBreak detection in the covariance structure of multivariate time series models

251 citations · 512 across the 26 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

29 papers

math.ST2026

Inference for sparsely sampled Gauss-Markov processes under outcome-dependent dropout

Alexander Aue, Siegfried Hörmann, Maximilian Ofner

We consider sparsely observed functional data generated by a latent Gauss-Markov process modeled through a linear stochastic differential equation (SDE). Motivated by an applicatio…

math.PR2026

Geometric Regime--Switching Diffusions on Stratified Riemannian Spaces with an Application to Covariance Matrices

Leonardo Marconi, Matteo Farnè, Alexander Aue

We construct geometric regime-switching diffusions, a class of Markov processes on locally compact stratified Riemannian state spaces. In contrast with classical regime-switching a…

stat.ME2026

An operator-level ARCH Model

Alexander Aue, Sebastian Kühnert, Gregory Rice +1

AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) models are standard for modeling time series exhibiting volatility, with a rich literature in univariate and multivariate setti…

q-fin.ST2025

Bitcoin Forecasting with Classical Time Series Models on Prices and Volatility

Anmar Kareem, Alexander Aue

This paper evaluates the performance of classical time series models in forecasting Bitcoin prices, focusing on ARIMA, SARIMA, GARCH, and EGARCH. Daily price data from 2010 to 2020…

math.ST2024★ 1 cited

Estimating invertible processes in Hilbert spaces, with applications to functional ARMA processes

Sebastian Kühnert, Gregory Rice, Alexander Aue

Invertible processes are central to functional time series analysis, making the estimation of their defining operators a key problem. While asymptotic error bounds have been establ…

math.ST2019★ 1 cited

Two-sample tests for relevant differences in the eigenfunctions of covariance operators

Alexander Aue, Holger Dette, Gregory Rice

This paper deals with two-sample tests for functional time series data, which have become widely available in conjunction with the advent of modern complex observation systems. Her…