1 citations · 1 across the 1 of their papers we have counts for
2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026★ 1 cited
Ensemble reliability and the signal-to-noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts
Christopher David Roberts, Frederic Vitart
Ensemble forecasts can exhibit counterintuitive statistical properties such that the correlation between ensemble means and observations () exceeds the correlation between…
physics.ao-ph2025
Unbiased calculation, evaluation, and calibration of ensemble forecast anomalies
Christopher D. Roberts, Martin Leutbecher
Long-range ensemble forecasts are typically verified as anomalies with respect to a lead-time dependent climatological mean to remove the influence of systematic biases. However, c…