2 papers
cs.CE2026
Exascale Hybrid Numerical-AI Ensembles for Operational Flood-Season Forecasting in East Asia: 15-km Decadal Hindcasts and 1-km High-Resolution Capability
Mengxuan Chen, Yunpu Xu, Qiuyan Sun +19
Seasonal forecasting of summer rainfall in East Asia remains a grand challenge, as predictability at 3 to 6 month lead times is constrained by the spring predictability barrier, we…
physics.space-ph2026
Aurora Hunter: A Two-Stage Framework for Probabilistic Visibility Forecasting
Zongyuan Ge, Chenwaner Zhang, Haoyang Li +4
Forecasting aurora borealis visibility matters for space weather research and aurora tourism. Visibility at a site and night depends on two distinct factors: (1) whether aurora is…