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econ.EM2024
Conditional Forecasts in Large Bayesian VARs with Multiple Equality and Inequality Constraints
Joshua C. C. Chan, Davide Pettenuzzo, Aubrey Poon +1
Conditional forecasts, i.e. projections of a set of variables of interest on the future paths of some other variables, are used routinely by empirical macroeconomists in a number o…
stat.AP2024
A Quantile Nelson-Siegel model
Matteo Iacopini, Aubrey Poon, Luca Rossini +1
We propose a novel framework for modeling the yield curve from a quantile perspective. Building on the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model of Diebold et al. (2006), we extend its tradition…