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cs.GT2025
WOMAC: A Mechanism For Prediction Competitions
Siddarth Srinivasan, Tao Lin, Connacher Murphy +3
Competitions are widely used to identify top performers in judgmental forecasting and machine learning, and the standard competition design ranks competitors based on their cumulat…
cs.GT2025
Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations
Siddarth Srinivasan, Ezra Karger, Michiel Bakker +1
Common sense suggests that when individuals explain why they believe something, we can arrive at more accurate conclusions than when they simply state what they believe. Yet, there…
cs.GT2025
Self-Resolving Prediction Markets for Unverifiable Outcomes
Siddarth Srinivasan, Ezra Karger, Yiling Chen
Prediction markets elicit and aggregate beliefs by paying agents based on how close their predictions are to a verifiable future outcome. However, outcomes of many important questi…