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20242026
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physics.ao-ph2026

An intercomparison of generative machine learning methods for downscaling precipitation at fine spatial scales

Neelesh Rampal, Bryn Ward-Leikis, Yun Sing Koh +7

Machine learning (ML) offers a computationally efficient approach for generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate projections, but deterministic ML methods often smooth f…

physics.ao-ph2026

CORDEX-ML-Bench: A Benchmark for Data-Driven Regional Climate Downscaling -Experiment Design and Overview

Neelesh Rampal, José González-Abad, Henry Addison +34

Machine learning (ML) has emerged as a cost-effective approach to complement dynamical downscaling for producing high-resolution regional climate projections. However, the absence…

physics.ao-ph2025

Generative AI-Downscaling of Large Ensembles Project Unprecedented Future Droughts

Hamish Lewis, Neelesh Rampal, Peter B. Gibson +4

Understanding how droughts may change in the future is essential for anticipating and mitigating their adverse impacts. However, robust climate projections require large amounts of…

physics.ao-ph2025

Downscaling with AI reveals the large role of internal variability in fine-scale projections of climate extremes

Neelesh Rampal, Peter B. Gibson, Steven C. Sherwood +3

The computational cost of dynamical downscaling limits ensemble sizes in regional downscaling efforts. We present a newly developed generative-AI approach to greatly expand the sco…

physics.ao-ph2024

On the Extrapolation of Generative Adversarial Networks for downscaling precipitation extremes in warmer climates

Neelesh Rampal, Peter B. Gibson, Steven Sherwood +1

While deep-learning downscaling algorithms can generate fine-scale climate projections cost-effectively, it is still unclear how well they will extrapolate to unobserved climates.…