1 citations · 1 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
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The shape of business cycles: a cross-country analysis of Friedman s plucking theory
Emanuel Kohlscheen, Richhild Moessner, Daniel Rees
We test the international applicability of Friedman s famous plucking theory of the business cycle in 12 advanced economies between 1970 and 2021. We find that in countries where l…
Globalisation and the Decoupling of Inflation from Domestic Labour Costs
Emanuel Kohlscheen, Richhild Moessner
We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has weakened considerably in advanced economies during recent dec…
Changing Electricity Markets: Quantifying the Price Effects of Greening the Energy Matrix
Emanuel Kohlscheen, Richhild Moessner
We analyse the drivers of European Power Exchange (EPEX) wholesale electricity prices between 2012 and early 2022 using machine learning. The agnostic random forest approach that w…
Quantifying the Role of Interest Rates, the Dollar and Covid in Oil Prices
Emanuel Kohlscheen
This study analyses oil price movements through the lens of an agnostic random forest model, which is based on 1,000 regression trees. It shows that this highly disciplined, yet fl…