5 papers
ForecastAgentSearch: Towards a Multi-Expert Agent Search System for Geopolitical Event Forecasting
Miaomiao Cai, He Chang, Yunshan Ma +1
Geopolitical event forecasting is a challenging task, as it requires understanding complex regional contexts, dynamic event signals, and uncertain future outcomes. Recent advances…
Scattered Hypothesis Generation for Open-Ended Event Forecasting
He Chang, Zhulin Tao, Lifang Yang +2
Despite the importance of open-ended event forecasting for risk management, current LLM-based methods predominantly target only the most probable outcomes, neglecting the intrinsic…
ThinkTank-ME: A Multi-Expert Framework for Middle East Event Forecasting
Haoxuan Li, He Chang, Yunshan Ma +4
Event forecasting is inherently influenced by multifaceted considerations, including international relations, regional historical dynamics, and cultural contexts. However, existing…
A Comprehensive Evaluation of Large Language Models on Temporal Event Forecasting
He Chang, Chenchen Ye, Zhulin Tao +5
Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated great potential in various data mining tasks, such as knowledge question answering, mathematical reasoning, and commonsense…
Integrate Temporal Graph Learning into LLM-based Temporal Knowledge Graph Model
He Chang, Jie Wu, Zhulin Tao +3
Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting (TKGF) aims to predict future events based on the observed events in history. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have exhibited remarkable…