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stat.AP2026
Bivariate Postprocessing of Wind Vectors
Ferdinand Buchner, David Jobst, Annette Möller +1
To quantify the uncertainty in numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts, ensemble prediction systems are utilized. Although NWP forecasts continuously improve, they suffer from…
stat.AP2024★ 1 cited
The zero degree of freedom non-central chi squared distribution for ensemble postprocessing
Jürgen Groß, Annette Möller
In this note the use of the zero degree non-central chi squared distribution as predictive distribution for ensemble postprocessing is investigated. It has a point mass at zero by…
stat.AP2024
Time Series based Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Temperature Forecasts Postprocessing
David Jobst, Annette Möller, Jürgen Groß
Nowadays, weather prediction is based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) models to produce an ensemble of forecasts. Despite of large improvements over the last few decades, the…