activity
20122022
most citedThe Evolution of Stock Market Efficiency in the US: A Non-Bayesian Time-Varying Model Approach

71 citations · 147 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

9 papers

econ.EM2022

Detecting Structural Breaks in Foreign Exchange Markets by using the group LASSO technique

Mikio Ito

This article proposes an estimation method to detect breakpoints for linear time series models with their parameters that jump scarcely. Its basic idea owes the group LASSO (group…

stat.ME2017★ 5 cited

An Alternative Estimation Method of a Time-Varying Parameter Model

Mikio Ito, Akihiko Noda, Tatsuma Wada

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has p…

q-fin.ST2017

Discretion versus Policy Rules in Futures Markets: A Case of the Osaka-Dojima Rice Exchange, 1914-1939

Mikio Ito, Kiyotaka Maeda, Akihiko Noda

We investigate the relationship between market efficiency of rice futures transaction in Osaka and the Japanese government intervention in rice distributions by directly buying and…

q-fin.ST2016★ 1 cited

Time-Varying Comovement of Foreign Exchange Markets

Mikio Ito, Akihiko Noda, Tatsuma Wada

A time-varying cointegration model for foreign exchange rates is presented. Unlike previous studies, we allow the loading matrix in the vector error correction (VEC) model to be va…

q-fin.GN2016★ 2 cited

Market Integration in the Prewar Japanese Rice Markets

Mikio Ito, Kiyotaka Maeda, Akihiko Noda

This paper examines the integration process of the Japanese major rice markets (Tokyo and Osaka) from 1881 to 1932. Using a non-Bayesian time-varying vector error correction model,…

q-fin.ST2014

The Futures Premium and Rice Market Efficiency in Prewar Japan

Mikio Ito, Kiyotaka Maeda, Akihiko Noda

This paper studies the interrelation between spot and futures prices in the two major rice markets in prewar Japan from the perspective of market efficiency. Applying a non-Bayesia…

q-fin.GN2014★ 2 cited

Market Efficiency and Government Interventions in Prewar Japanese Rice Futures Markets

Mikio Ito, Kiyotaka Maeda, Akihiko Noda

This study analyzes how colonial rice trade in prewar Japan affected its rice market, considering several government interventions in the two rice futures exchanges in Tokyo and Os…

q-fin.ST2012★ 66 cited

International Stock Market Efficiency: A Non-Bayesian Time-Varying Model Approach

Mikio Ito, Akihiko Noda, Tatsuma Wada

This paper develops a non-Bayesian methodology to analyze the time-varying structure of international linkages and market efficiency in G7 countries. We consider a non-Bayesian tim…

q-fin.ST2012★ 71 cited

The Evolution of Stock Market Efficiency in the US: A Non-Bayesian Time-Varying Model Approach

Mikio Ito, Akihiko Noda, Tatsuma Wada

A non-Bayesian time-varying model is developed by introducing the concept of the degree of market efficiency that varies over time. This model may be seen as a reflection of the id…