5 citations · 7 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers
Assessing the calibration of multivariate probabilistic forecasts
Sam Allen, Johanna Ziegel, David Ginsbourger
Rank and PIT histograms are established tools to assess the calibration of probabilistic forecasts. They not only check whether an ensemble forecast is calibrated, but they also re…
Weighted scoringRules: Emphasising Particular Outcomes when Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts
Sam Allen
When predicting future events, it is common to issue forecasts that are probabilistic, in the form of probability distributions over the range of possible outcomes. Such forecasts…
Weighted verification tools to evaluate univariate and multivariate forecasts for high-impact weather events
Sam Allen, Jonas Bhend, Olivia Martius +1
To mitigate the impacts associated with adverse weather conditions, meteorological services issue weather warnings to the general public. These warnings rely heavily on forecasts i…
Evaluating forecasts for high-impact events using transformed kernel scores
Sam Allen, David Ginsbourger, Johanna Ziegel
It is informative to evaluate a forecaster's ability to predict outcomes that have a large impact on the forecast user. Although weighted scoring rules have become a well-establish…