167 citations · 386 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for
Showing 2013Show all
3 papers · 1 filter
stat.ME2013★ 1 cited
Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional ensemble forecasts using rank histograms
Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Michael Scheuerer, Christopher Heinz
Any decision making process that relies on a probabilistic forecast of future events necessarily requires a calibrated forecast. This paper proposes new methods for empirically ass…
stat.AP2013★ 167 cited
Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics
Michael Scheuerer
Statistical post-processing of dynamical forecast ensembles is an essential component of weather forecasting. In this article, we present a post-processing method that generates fu…
stat.AP2013★ 46 cited
Spatially adaptive post-processing of ensemble forecasts for temperature
Michael Scheuerer, Luca Büermann
We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, ba…