activity
20222026
collaborators

9 papers

math.PR2026

Bayesian Filters via the Stochastic Category

Kenichi Bannai, Masahiro Kurisaki

We extend the categorical treatment of Bayesian filters to models with feedback, whose transitions and observations may depend on the past observations. We work in the stochastic c…

math.PR2026

Finite Cumulant Towers for Small-System-Noise Expansions in Nonlinear Filtering

Masahiro Kurisaki

We study asymptotic expansions for nonlinear filtering in the small-system-noise regime. Our main result is that the expansion coefficients of conditional cumulants satisfy a close…

nlin.CD2026

A Second-Order Asymptotic Expansion for Nonlinear Filtering in the Lorenz--63 System

Masahiro Kurisaki, Kota Takeda

A challenge in nonlinear filtering is to incorporate nonlinear effects into approximations of the conditional mean while retaining a finite-dimensional recursive algorithm. We deri…

math.PR2026

Finite-Dimensional Recursions for Small-Noise Expansions in Nonlinear Filtering

Masahiro Kurisaki

This paper provides a recursive formula for computing the coefficients in a small-system-noise asymptotic expansion for nonlinear filtering. The expansion, obtained from the Kallia…

math.PR2026

Asymptotic Expansion of the Kallianpur-Striebel Formula under Perturbations of Linear Models

Masahiro Kurisaki

In this paper, we study a nonlinear state-space model represented as a perturbation of a linear model and investigate an asymptotic expansion of the nonlinear filter with respect t…

math.ST2026

Pathwise Representation of the Smoothing Distribution in Continuous-Time Linear Gaussian Models

Masahiro Kurisaki

We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS…

eess.SP2025

Asymptotic Expansion for Nonlinear Filtering in the Small System Noise Regime

Masahiro Kurisaki

We propose a new asymptotic expansion method for nonlinear filtering, based on a small parameter in the system noise. The conditional expectation is expanded as a power series in t…

eess.SP2025

A New Proof for the Linear Filtering and Smoothing Equations, and Asymptotic Expansion of Nonlinear Filtering

Masahiro Kurisaki

In this paper, we propose a new asymptotic expansion approach for nonlinear filtering based on a small parameter in the system noise. This method expresses the filtering distributi…

math.ST2022

Parameter estimation for ergodic linear SDEs from partial and discrete observations

Masahiro Kurisaki

We consider a problem of parameter estimation for the state space model described by linear stochastic differential equations. We assume that an unobservable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck pro…