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econ.GN2026
Beyond headcount and human capital: The Effective Cognitive Population as a decomposable capacity unit for AI-era planning
Kwan Soo Shin
National planning counts population, human capital, and artificial-intelligence preparedness in separate ledgers. Demographic accounting has advanced from headcount to skills-adjus…
econ.GN2026
What Capital After Labor? Forecasting the Talent ROI Transition in the Human-AI Era
Kwan Soo Shin
AI augmentation breaks the accounting link between labor time and productive contribution, yet firms continue to evaluate talent through time-based overhead bundles. This paper dev…
econ.GN2026
Forecasting AI-Era Productivity: The Intellectually Converged Human Framework and a Missing Cognitive Mediator in Production Function Theory
Kwan Soo Shin, In Seok Kang
Why does massive AI investment fail to generate commensurate productivity gains? We argue the paradox is theoretically generated: prevailing production function frameworks encounte…