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physics.soc-ph2025
A Minimalist Physics-Informed Model for Predicting Extreme Conflict Fatalities
Yair Neuman, Yochai Cohen
The complexity of armed conflicts is expressed in the number of fatalities that may span several orders of magnitude. This study presents a minimalist, physics-informed approach to…
physics.soc-ph2025
Boltzmann-Informed Probabilities
Yair Neuman, Yochai Cohen
Traditional interpretations of probability, whether frequentist or subjective, make no reference to the concept of energy. In this paper, we propose that assigning hypothetical ene…